Sunday, November 9, 2014

Last Minute Fantasy Start'ems and Sit'ems: Week 10

Jeremy says to sit Russell Wilson this week, so you should definitely start him.
By Jeremy Conlin (@jeremy_conlin)

Joe is off this week, so I'm your fantasy czar. You'd be wise to hear my advice and then go in the exact opposite direction. In one of my leagues, I'm currently first place in total points scored but sit at 1-8. Luck has not been a lady. Luck has been a cold-hearted bitch.

Start'em

Quarterback: Mark Sanchez, Philadelphia

Matchup: vs. Carolina, Monday Night

Look, I'm not advocating for Sanchez to be your long-term solution or the franchise quarterback of your favorite real, not fantasy football team. But if you're strapped for options at quarterback (and you might be with guys like Luck, Rivers, and Brady on bye weeks and guys like Romo and Foles with injuries), Sanchez is your best bet for a quick plug average performance. It's tough to screw up too bad in Philadelphia's offense, and they're running into Carolina, who hasn't really been able to stop anyone through the air.

Running Back: Mark Ingram, New Orleans

Matchup: vs. San Francisco, Sunday 1 p.m.

Ingram has suddenly figured out how to actually follow his blockers, run in straight lines (when warranted), and/or avoid tacklers (when warranted). And with New Orleans' offense exploding and San Francisco's team falling apart, the Saints could spend a good portion of the second half handing off to Ingram with a two-touchdown lead And there's a good chance that Ingram will be involved in amassing the aforementioned hypothetical two-touchdown lead.

Wide Receiver: Alshon Jeffrey, Chicago

Matchup: at Green Bay, Sunday 8:30 p.m.

Look, it hasn't been a great year for either of the Bears' receivers. But Jeffrey has surprised a few by out-performing Brandon Marshall through the first half of the season, and he's still seeing opponents No. 2 cornerbacks (or, for teams who assign cornerbacks to sides as opposed to matchups, defenses are usually shading coverages towards Marshall, not Jeffrey). Jeffrey should see a good number of high-leverage targets, and with Chicago's defense in shambles, the Bears could spend most of the second half throwing the ball trying to make up a big deficit.

Sit'em

Quarterback: Russell Wilson, Seattle

Matchup: vs. New York Giants, Sunday 4:25 p.m.

A confluence of factors makes Wilson just a mediocre play this week - Seattle has looked objectively bad in recent weeks (particularly on offense), and while the Giants aren't exactly world-beaters, they're a Jekyll-Hyde team that randomly shows up and plays well. Even when they play poorly, they have a passable pass defense, including 11 interceptions (4th-best in the league) through eight weeks.

Running Back: Lamar Miller, Miami

Matchup: at Detroit, Sunday, 1 p.m.

This one is pretty easy - Miller isn't that great to begin with (only topped 100 yards once this season, only scored two touchdowns in one game this season and that was against Oakland), and he's going up against the second-ranked rushing defense in football.

Wide Receiver: Larry Fitzgerald, Arizona

Matchup: vs. St. Louis, Sunday 4:25 p.m.

We all know that wide receiver is a crap chute anyway, and Fitzgerald hasn't lit the league on fire this year. He has three different games with three receptions or less and he's only scored two touchdowns. Now he'll be lining up against the Rams' Janoris Jenkins (one of the more underrated corners in the league) and St. Louis' pass rush is recently re-invigorated. If Carson Palmer doesn't have much time to throw, his hot read probably won't be to the guy being covered by the other team's best cover corner.

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