 |
| Are Matt Ryan and the Falcons for real? |
By Jeremy Conlin (@jeremy_conlin) and Joe Parello (@HerewegoJoe)
The first four weeks were tough. Neither one of us had a week better than 8-7, and we both entered the week at least six games under .500.
Once we rounded the NFL's quarter-pole, however, we turned things around. We each went 10-3-1 against the spread, and Jeremy even swept the 1 o'clock games on Sunday with a spotless 7-0 record against the spread. For the most part, we seem to have a good grasp on the league right now. That being said, we'll probably go 5-9 this week.
The league is still pretty wide-open. The Patriots, Vikings and Steelers are unquestionably really, really good. The Falcons, Broncos, Raiders, Packers, Cowboys, and Seahawks rate anywhere from "pretty good" to "really good." The Dolphins, Browns, Bears, and 49ers are all really bad and, for all intents and purposes, dead in the water. Everyone else is (vaguely) still alive, though.
There might be a few "loser leaves town" matchups this week. The Panthers and Saints both need a win to keep pace with the suddenly-really-good Falcons. Neither the Giants or Ravens look like division-winning material, so it's effectively must-win for both teams if they want to steal a Wild Card spot. Same for the Lions and Rams.
Also, with so many seemingly above-average teams in the AFC, the Chiefs and Raiders can't really afford too many losses. (Granted, the Raiders at 4-1 aren't at risk of their season going down the tubes with a loss here, but with the AFC West so competitive, they can't afford to drop winnable division home games - it's not "loser leaves town," but it's "loser needs to rebound.")
Game(s) of The Week
Cincinnati at New England (1:00 p.m. Sunday, CBS)
The Patriots look like they're clicking on all cylinders with Tom Brady back in the lineup, and Rob Gronkowski and Martellus Bennett at full strength. But the Bengals sit at 2-3, in third place in the AFC North. This might be a kitchen sink game for them - they just can't afford to lose. They'll be going all-out. This should be an entertaining game.